250% chance at getting fishing hat!!!

[Bankbeauty]

Basically, it just mean you fish longer so the amount of tastyfish you get increase. It's basically like doing 2 and a half weeks of Fishing derby every Sunday. Does it INCREASE your chance, No. Does it means you'll get LFH faster, Maybe, Maybe not.

 

[Bragh]

You have 0.25% chanse on each cast. Thats it. Doesnt change ever. It's 0.25% each cast. Thanks and bye.

 

[Bankbeauty]

You have 0.25% chanse on each cast. Thats it. Doesnt change ever. It's 0.25% each cast. Thanks and bye.

Yeah.

Are we ok with the fact that if blizzard cahnged the tournament from 2 hours to 6 hours we'd see more hat running around?

 

[crosswurd]

The number of people failing basic comprehension and elementary statistics in this thread is amazing lol.



The OP isn't stating that by fishing more, you will increase the drop chance per cast... He's stating that by increasing the time spent fishing (and thus increasing the number of casts you're able to perform in any given week), this will increase your chance at catching a Fishing Hat each week. This isn't complicated here guys.



To the people who can't seem to grasp this, and just keep spouting off "drop chance is 0.25% no matter what kk go away"... When you do the fishing tournament on a twink, do you simply cast 1 single time then hearth back to town? I mean, the drop chance is 0.25% right? Shouldn't matter how many casts you do, your chance to someday catch a fish will never change, right? Damn.



http://www.twinkinfo.com/forums/15-19-bracket/19885-250-chance-getting-fishing-hat.html#post264362

 

[glancealot]

The number of people failing basic comprehension and elementary statistics in this thread is amazing lol.



The OP isn't stating that by fishing more, you will increase the drop chance per cast... He's stating that by increasing the time spent fishing (and thus increasing the number of casts you're able to perform in any given week), this will increase your chance at catching a Fishing Hat each week. This isn't complicated here guys.



To the people who can't seem to grasp this, and just keep spouting off "drop chance is 0.25% no matter what kk go away"... When you do the fishing tournament on a twink, do you simply cast 1 single time then hearth back to town? I mean, the drop chance is 0.25% right? Shouldn't matter how many casts you do, your chance to someday catch a fish will never change, right? Damn.



http://www.twinkinfo.com/forums/15-19-bracket/19885-250-chance-getting-fishing-hat.html#post264362

ya i feel your frustration man. but i wouldn't suggest letting this whole argument get to you.



you'd be amazed at how many university students, majored in statistics, make the same mistake:



i TA'd a course called Probability, like 60% of the kids made the same mistake on the first day of the class when the professor talked about poker or something i don't remember.

 

[Rivfader]

Can glancelot get another ban please, I'm tired of his trash threads filling up forums.

 

[glancealot]

I'm tired of his trash threads filling up forums.

if you call new ideas/being creative trash, then fair enough.

Can glancelot get another ban please

i am contributing, you are not.

 

[Mocha]

if you call new ideas/being creative trash, then fair enough.







i am contributing, you are not.

Contributing how? I understand what you're failing at saying, but the answer is: No. Just because you can fish "x" derbies or whatever in a single day doesn't mean that it is a 100% (or more, as x scales) chance that you will get the hat. I know for a fact that I put in about 15 whole derbies before I got mine, and guess what..... each derby I casted my fishing pole with a .25% chance (rumored) that I got keefer. Everything you say makes sense in terms of statistics, but when applied to real (wow) world applications it's no more than false information, making it wrong... why? Because RnG cannot be predicted nor influenced. The rumored .25% is just someones guess on the drop rate... the 250% chance of fishing one up in a single day is based on false inconsistencies which do not follow the rules that RnG cannot be predicted nor influenced by any way.

That's that, GG, Winning, you're wrong (etc.)



Stick to what Bragh said, since he is the only correct one here, and if you argue what he said, you're arguing that RnG can change and be influenced (which it can't).

 

[Vincent]

Contributing how? I understand what you're failing at saying, but the answer is: No. Just because you can fish "x" derbies or whatever in a single day doesn't mean that it is a 100% (or more, as x scales) chance that you will get the hat. I know for a fact that I put in about 15 whole derbies before I got mine, and guess what..... each derby I casted my fishing pole with a .25% chance (rumored) that I got keefer. Everything you say makes sense in terms of statistics, but when applied to real (wow) world applications it's no more than false information, making it wrong... why? Because RnG cannot be predicted nor influenced. The rumored .25% is just someones guess on the drop rate... the 250% chance of fishing one up in a single day is based on false inconsistencies which do not follow the rules that RnG cannot be predicted nor influenced by any way.

That's that, GG, Winning, you're wrong (etc.)



Stick to what Bragh said, since he is the only correct one here, and if you argue what he said, you're arguing that RnG can change and be influenced (which it can't).

Its dangerous to try and reason with delusional people so Ill just weigh in and tell everyone that realizes that you can "predict" (=estimate) probability that they are of course right (jesus christ this is so basic it makes me think many of you are just trolling). And dont for a second start believing these RNG GG IWIN HURP DURP geniuses. They obviously dont realize that rng is just another word for chance, the computer way of throwing a dice.